Consumers struggling with inflation may see some relief as petrol and diesel prices are expected to decline in the upcoming fortnightly review, effective from October 16, 2025.
According to industry sources, petrol prices are likely to fall by Rs. 6.10 per litre to Rs. 262.58, while high-speed diesel (HSD) may see a minor reduction of Rs. 0.97 to Rs. 275.84 per litre. Kerosene oil is expected to drop by Rs. 2.75 to Rs. 182.22, and light diesel oil (LDO) by Rs. 1.64 to Rs. 163.86 per litre.
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The anticipated decrease follows a dip in global crude oil prices and stability in the Pakistani rupee against the U.S. dollar. The ex-refinery rate of petrol is projected to fall from Rs. 162.96 to Rs. 156.86 per litre, while diesel’s rate may ease to Rs. 173.31 from Rs. 174.28 per litre. Import premiums currently stand at $6.62 per barrel for petrol and $3.20 for diesel.
Officials said the drop reflects softer demand and a mild correction in international oil markets. They added that the current structure includes Rs. 80.52 per litre in petroleum levy and carbon surcharge on petrol and Rs. 79.51 on diesel.
Analysts believe the expected cut could ease inflationary pressure and lower transportation costs. The Ministry of Finance will announce final prices on October 15, to take effect at midnight on October 16.
